Commissioned pieces that argue about what comes next — dated, evidenced, and clearly about the future rather than the news.
Why we cover it this way: The 4th Turning
Ray Kurzweil's forecasts show 86% accuracy in information technology but consistently miss timelines in biology and underestimate social friction. His 2045 singularity date may be less important than the underlying convergence of AI, energy, and biotech—a reshaping already underway regardless of when it formally "arrives."
Demis Hassabis is stepping away from Google DeepMind’s daily machinery to pursue AGI and disease cures. Meanwhile, a former OpenAI researcher has joined a startup promising non-invasive “telepathy.” The AI boom is moving beyond chatbots and into the far more valuable territory of biology, cognition and human intent.
Inference economics—not model quality—will determine which AI products survive 2026. The fundamental tradeoff between per-token cost and p99 latency is locked in physics: builders can optimize for low cost, low latency, or high throughput, but not all three simultaneously. Most products are priced at the cheap end while their UX demands the expensive end.
